New York Mets at Washington Nationals
Moneyline: NYM +145/WAS -155
First pitch: 7:05 p.m. ET
Probable pitchers: Wilmer Font (1-0, 5.50 ERA) vs. Patrick Corbin (3-1, 3.20 ERA)
After winning three in a row, the Mets are suddenly in position to climb back over the .500 mark. They can do that at the expense of the division rival Nationals, who enter tonight's meeting having lost seven of their last nine to fall into fourth place in the National League East.
It will be anything but easy, though, considering the Mets must deal with Corbin, Washington's prized acquisition from this past offseason. The former Arizona Diamondback has made good on the team's pricey investment thus far, as New York actually found out firsthand right away when facing the left-hander in his first two starts in his new digs to open up the campaign.
While Corbin garnered a pair of no-decisions in those matchups, he was certainly effective, registering a quality start in both efforts. That's really been the theme of his first year with the Nats thus far, with all but one of his eight assignments going into the books as a quality start. He's also notably punching out 10.3 K/9, the second-highest such mark of his career.
New York will retort with a recent acquisition of their own when Font takes the hill for his second outing as a Met.
Despite making his first start of the season for the club last week, the 28-year-old actually held up well, holding a solid Padres lineup to two runs on just three baserunners in four innings of work, though the Amazins would go on to lose the contest.
Font's numbers for his career don't look like anything special, but when you break down what he's done while being deployed as a starting pitcher there's something there to be encouraged by. Last Wednesday's affair marked the righty's sixth-career start, and in those games, he's posted a shiny 2.16 ERA and 0.92 WHIP, albeit in 25 total innings.
He'll look to capitalize on a Nationals lineup that's gone cold. During their current 2-7 rut, Washington scored three runs or fewer in all but two of those games.
How I Would Bet This Game
Though it looks like the Mets are starting to heat up again, this doesn't look like their matchup to win. Corbin kept their bats at bay in both April meetings and given the All-Star-caliber consistency he's exhibited, betting on the Nats here seems like the right call. Instead of taking them on the moneyline at -155, however, I'd recommend Washington on the runline (meaning they'd have to win by two or more runs), which carries much friendlier +130 odds.