We're rapidly approaching the beginning of the regular season, but with some challenging roster moves to make, Lou Lamoriello's hardest job of the preseason is still to come. We're answer some of the latest twitter questions about the roster and more.
Brian Kloidt - @BrianKloidt - Will they likely trade Fayne and Tedenby?
It's always very tough to speculate on trades, because you never really know. Even the team doesn't know what kind of offer they might receive. Mark Fayne has some value, because he's been a starter for some time, and he's been healthy. A team that needs a solid bottom paring guy could definitely benefit from acquiring Mark Fayne.
As for Mattias Tedenby, i've said for years, that he would be a better player in a more open offensive system. Putting him on a Western Conference team that runs a more wide-open offensive system that doesn't require as much backchecking from it's forwards would make sense. If Tedenby does get sent down and have to pass through waivers, there's a very good chance that he would be picked up. The speedy Swedish forward has shown flashes of strong play amidst times of inconsistency. I'm not sure if the team would want to keep him over some of the other forwards. Rostislav Olesz has looked good in the preseason, and considering his prior experience with DeBoer, I think he would have an edge over Tedenby if it came down to those two.
Though those two look like possible options, the fact is, that anyone could be traded if the price is right. Realistically, the kind of return that the Devils might get for someone like a Fayne, Tedenby or a Ryan Carter even, would be a late round pick. It's definitely more of a move about constructing this current roster than it is to get something in return. Don't expect a large piece in exchange, if in fact a move is made.
ACalvano- @ItsACAL- Lou stated he didn't want a DMan in Albany on 1way contract. He must trade someone by Monday at 3. Who does he move?
This is a very challenging question for the team. Alexander Urbom is out of options. He would have to clear waivers in order to be sent down to Albany. Urbom has looked good in the preseason, which definitely makes him an option to make this club as the 7th defenseman. Peter Harrold, who resigned for a two-year $1.6 million dollar deal during the offseason, would also have to clear waivers, and he's on a one-way contract. As Lou has said, he doesn't want a one-way contract toiling away in the minors.
If the Devils aren't able to find a trade partner, they'll have to risk sending someone through waivers and losing them for nothing. The other issue is, if they try sending down a couple of players with one-way contracts and they don't get picked up, that's a lot of salary that's being burned in the AHL.
The fact is, this is a very difficult situation. There are a lot of players who have shown talent, but there is not enough room for all of them. In the great scheme of things, this is a good problem to have. If you were to ask any GM in the league, they would all rather have too many roster-worth players, as opposed to a situation where they are trying to piece together a roster with limited depth to choose from.
I don't want to speculate and give a clear cut answer as to who will be moved, because we just don't know whats happening internally. If I had to pick a player who has the most value and could be "trade-able," I'd go with Mark Fayne. Fayne has enough of an NHL resume, and a friendly one-year, $1.3 million contract.
Jonathan Harpula- @Starpula - Seems like the "moneyballers" think higher of devils than conventional analysts. Can you explain corsi/fenwck and the devs?
Excellent question, Jon. We all know about saber metrics in baseball, but advanced stats are being used in every sport now. Any time you can come up with a way to further evaluate talent, it's a beneficial addition to the already tireless amount of evaluation that player personnel departments do. In hockey, the two most common advanced stats are Crosi and Fenwick ratings.
Corsi rating is basically a stat that measures the shots towards the net, for and against, while a player is on the ice. It is a good measure of if a player is creating offense and limiting chances on defense.
It's a very interesting statistic, but i'm still someone that goes with the eye test over any stat. For example, in the 2012 playoffs, the Stephen Gionta, Ryan Carter and Steve Bernier line was fantastic. They forechecked hard and scored some huge goals. Their Corsi rating for the playoffs was very low. The eye test clearly shows that they were successful, but the stats would say they weren't.
What Corsi falls short in, is puck possession. The Devils are a forecheck-heavy team. They don't necessarily generate a ton of shots, but they will create turnovers and win pucks in the corner to keep control of the puck.
Fenwick rating is very similar to Corsi, except that it does not include blocked shots in the rating. Basically, with Corsi, blocks still count, so if Bryce Salvador goes out and blocks three shots on his shift, but the team generates no shots, he'd have a poor Corsi rating. With Fenwick, that wouldn't be the case.
We'll be using a lot of these stats, as well as some others as we dive further into the season. We will make sure to explain each of these stats in full when they're used. It's complicated stuff and there's a lot of math.
Avid Devils Fan - @NJDMCP - if you were Deboer, how would you split the goaltending starts?
If I were Pete Deboer, i'd be very happy with the situation, having two number-one-caliber goaltenders. Early on, both will get starts. They're going to let both goaltenders get situated and get the kind of minutes they need in order to be at the top of their games.
Even if one of the two is outplaying the other in the first week or two of the season, you're not going to see a drastic change. If Martin Brodeur goes out and gives up three goals to the Penguins, and Cory Schneider gives up one to the Islanders, I would still expect Brodeur to get the next start.
Down the road, if one of the netminders is playing considerable better than the other, then yes, I do believe that there will be a number one that will emerge.
The team is going to do it's best to give both Brodeur and Schneider a chance to succeed and the thought of the team evaluating the situation on a game-to-game basis just won't occur. If/when a true number one emerges, it'll be once both goalies have a large body of work.