This week, the Giants are a touchdown favorite over the 4-9 Redskins and, in a perfect world, should be able to cover that number. But I wouldn't bet on it.
The Giants' December record under Tom Coughlin is abysmal. They have difficulty winning games straight-up, forget about covering spreads as favorites. They are 4-10-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 3 1/2 points or greater.
Washington plays fairly well in December. They compete. It's the first three months they seem to have issues with. Check out these numbers...
The Redskins are: 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. the NFC East, 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games in December and 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games in Week 15.
Not bad. Don't forget, they also beat the Giants in Week 1 this season, snapping a three-year losing streak against the Blue. QB Rex Grossman plays his best against the Giants, too.
He has averaged 295 yards passing against the Giants while completing 58.3 pct of his passes (90 of 154) for 1,183 yards. He has 8 TDs vs only 2 INTs and a 94.7 rating. With the Giants' secondary struggling, he may be in for another big day.
The Over/Under for Sunday is 46 1/2. The Giants have been "Over" achievers all season, scoring at will and giving it right back. They have eclipsed the Over in 21 of their last 29 games vs NFC teams.
Washington, however, is an Under team. Under is 35-17-2 in the Redskins last 54 games as a road underdog of 3 1/2 points or more. But they have been lax as of late. Over is 4-0 in the last month in Redskin games.
Prediction: Giants and Over. Go with the hot hand....
thanks to Covers.com for the stats