I've been asked this question a few times lately and have not really thought it through. That is, until I witnessed Sunday's pathetic loss in Jacksonville.
Tom Coughlin is still a top coach and the Giants would be hard-pressed to find someone equal to - or better - than him. After the loss to the Jags, I can see a change being made without much remorse or resistance. Enough is enough. The Giants may have reached the pinnacle of the sport twice under Tom, but they've also been embarrassingly bad too many times.
The next question is: Will GM Jerry Reese be the guy making that decision? How safe is his job? We won't know until John Mara does his evaluations at the end of the season. He may dismiss Reese and Coughlin and go in a new direction altogether.
Reese has been, by admission, not as successful in the draft as he hoped to be, but he has made some strong free agent signings. He's not the best GM in the business, so he is replaceable as far as many are concerned.
Dismissing Reese a year after his best draft since 2007 will be a hard sell to some and a godsend to others. If the Giants do let him go, he won't be out of work for long. All he has to do is wear his two Super Bowl rings to an interview and open the conversation by saying, "I'm the guy who found Victor Cruz on the street and drafted Odell Beckham, Jr."
Coughlin will not resign or retire. He's not done coaching, and will find a new job within minutes after hitting the market, I'm guessing.
So, who will the Giants look to bring in? It depends on if Reese stays or not. If he stays, many assume he will throw his weight around in handpicking his first head coach by hiring a first-timer. The job sells itself, so there will be plenty of coaches in the pro and college ranks that will pick up the phone when the Giants call.
John Mara has not hired a coach in his tenure as CEO. Coughlin was hired by his father, Wellington. He will be involved in the process, but the names will likely be passed along to him by Reese -- or the new GM.
A possibility being explored is that of trading for 49ers head coach Jim Harbaugh. I, personally, don't see it happening. For all the positives Harbaugh might bring, the Giants would have to pay up to get him first and then hope he doesn't implode in the New York media realm.
Harbaugh couldn't get along and coexist with the Niners front office. Chances are he won't fare well in the Giants' corporate infrastructure, either.
I would strongly doubt the Giants will resurrect someone who has been away from the sidelines for awhile such as Bill Cowher, Jon Gruden or Tony Dungy. Nor do I think they will look to promote someone from the current staff.
The new head coach will be just that -- new. If they blow this thing up, it's anyone's guess who will be at the helm in 2015.
Who would I like to see as the head coach? Not a college guy, that's for sure. The pro and college levels of the game are just too different these days.
I know there is an argument for a hot college coach out there, citing how well Chip Kelly as done in Philly, but it makes more sense to have a rising, pro-level assistant or coordinator as the next head coach.