We loved Green Bay (-5 1/2) last night, because everyone fell in love with the Bears after they dominated the sorry Colts in Week One. We knew the Bears' OL still stinks and they proved it once again by leaving Jay Cutler to fend for himself. ?We won't count this as a win, so we will still owe you three for this week.
Some quick advice.....
The most common line is Giants by 3 with the over/under at 46. ?The Las Vegas Hilton and Caesars have the Giants at 2.5 point favorites.
The Covers.com consensus right now is leaning heavy towards the Giants (70%) mainly because the Cowboys have covered in only five of their fifteen games in 2011. The Giants are 7-7-1 ATS (against the spread) this year.
This week, the Giants are a touchdown favorite over the 4-9 Redskins and, in a perfect world, should be able to cover that number. But I wouldn't bet on it.
The Giants' December record under Tom Coughlin is abysmal. They have difficulty winning games straight-up, forget about covering spreads as favorites. They are 4-10-1 against the spread (ATS) in their last 15 games as a home favorite of 3 1/2 points or greater.
With Vick and Maclin Out, Line Climbs to 5 1/2With QB Michael Vick sidelined for Sunday's game vs the Giants with broken ribs, the betting line for the divisional showdown between the Eagles and the Giants has shot up from Giants - 3 to Giants - 5 1/2. ?Vince Young, who is 2-0 lifetime against the Blue, will be the likely starter.
Trends don't really mean much in this rivalry, which over the years has produced some of the league's most memorable moments. This season, the Eagles have blown five games in the fourth quarter while the Giants have a propensity for pouring on in the final period.
The Giants' run defense this year has been the worst in recent memory, while the Eagles' rushing offense is first in the NFL, 13.5 yards better than runner-up Houston.
Tags: Giants-Eagles, New York Giants, New York Giants News, NFL Betting, NFL Odds, NFL Week 11, Philadelphia Eagles
Here are some trends ATS (against the spread) for the Giants and Patriots:
- Giants are 16-6 ATS in their last 22 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
- Giants are 29-13 ATS in their last 42 road games.
- Giants are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a road underdog.
- Giants are 16-36-2 ATS in their last 54 games in November.
- Giants are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
- Giants are 1-3-1 ATS in their last 5 games on fieldturf.
- Giants are 3-12-1 ATS in their last 16 games after accumulating more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Giants are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Giants are 0-4-1 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
- Patriots are 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Patriots are 22-5 ATS in their last 27 games after accumulating less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
- Patriots are 15-5 ATS in their last 20 games as a home favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Patriots are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
- Patriots are 25-9-1 ATS in their last 35 games following a S.U. loss.
- Patriots are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games after allowing more than 250 yards passing in their previous game.
- Patriots are 39-19-1 ATS in their last 59 games as a favorite of 3.5-10.0.
- Patriots are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games in Week 9.
Tags: Giants-Patriots, NFL Gambling, NFL Odds, NFL Week 9
At least they know this much: neither team is playing a stitch of defense. The Giants get the 3-point nod because they are at home. Not that that matters, since they are only 6-4 at the new stadium. Since MetLife opened last year, the Giants have won more games on the road (7) then they have at home.
The Bills are 3-0 at Orchard Park this year and 1-1 on the road. They are 4th in the league in rushing and aren't very careless with the football, sporting a league-best +11 turnover ratio. The Giants will have to earn this one.