With the Yankees landing Gerrit Cole and transforming their starting rotation in the process, the question becomes how Cole will perform in 2020 and beyond.
Cole became a dominant force after joining the Astros, posting a 2.68 ERA/2.67 FIP and 0.96 WHIP with 602 strikeouts (13.1 per 9) in 412.2 IP in 2018 and 2019.
So how will Cole fare in 2020 during what will be the first year of his nine-year deal?
According to Steamer projections via FanGraphs (which tend to be a bit conservative), Cole will regress a bit. But that regression would still make him the best pitcher in baseball.
Here are the projections:
Again, the above numbers would make Cole the best pitcher in baseball, a touch ahead of Jacob deGrom of the Mets and Max Scherzer of the Nationals.
How Cole fares in 2021 and beyond (especially as he enters his 30s and his stuff potentially starts to diminish) is another question. But he seems to be in good position to maintain something near his recent level of dominance for quite some time.